The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:Gap opened higher and rose sharply.-Warming up market sentiment: The rise of FTSE China A50 index futures and other external markets will drive the A-share market sentiment and push the market higher. However, after the market opens higher, some profit-taking discs may choose to take profits, which will lead to a certain shock in the market. However, under the background of favorable policies and good market expectations, there will still be funds to continue to undertake, pushing the market to fluctuate upward.
The gap is high and the shock is upward.-Sector rotation promotion: The related sectors mentioned in the meeting, such as real estate and finance, may take the lead to drive the market to open higher, and then the technology and consumption sectors will relay to promote the overall market to fluctuate upward, forming a benign sector rotation effect.-Positive policies and incentives: Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has released positive signals such as stabilizing the stock market, which will enhance the overall confidence of the market, attract capital inflows and push the market to open higher. For example, after the meeting of the Political Bureau on September 26th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares rose sharply [__LINK_ICON].
Gap high, fall-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.-Profit-taking selling in the early stage: Some investors may take advantage of the opportunity of opening higher in the early stage, and a large number of selling will lead to a rapid decline after the market opens higher [__LINK_ICON].
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13